Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?
Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes if any of OpenAI, xAI, Anthropic, or Google announce that they will no longer release frontier AI models to the public before Jan 1, 2026.Outcome verified from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI.
An announcement is sufficient to resolve the market to yes, even if the policy is not in effect until after <date>. Releasing frontier models only behind a paywall is not sufficient to resolve the market to "Yes".
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 9, 2025 · 1:00pm EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXAIRELEASE
EventKXAIRELEASE-26
MarketKXAIRELEASE-26
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