Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person) Odds & Predictions 2026
Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)
Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)
Begins in 145 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST
Chance
Nick Begich III
Republican
66%
Nick Begich III
Republican
66%
Bill Hill
Independent
29%
Bill Hill
Independent
29%
Matt Schultz
Democratic
11%
Matt Schultz
Democratic
11%
2 more
Market Rules
Nick Begich III
If Nick Begich III wins the Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election in 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from the State of Alaska.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 20, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 3, 2027 at 11:00am EDT.
SeriesKXALASKAHOUSE
EventKXALASKAHOUSE-26
MarketKXALASKAHOUSE-26-NBEG
Insider trading is prohibited
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Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event