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Will Zohran Mamdani be arrested before January 2026? Odds & Predictions
Politics
Will Zohran Mamdani be arrested before January 2026?
Politics
Will Zohran Mamdani be arrested before January 2026?
$189,138 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes if
Zohran Mamdani is arrested before Jan 1, 2026
.
Outcome verified from
CNBC
,
law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jul 2, 2025 · 2:13pm EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXARRESTMAMDANI
Event
KXARRESTMAMDANI-26JAN
Market
KXARRESTMAMDANI-26JAN
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.