Will controller shortages shut down an air traffic facility in November?
Will controller shortages shut down an air traffic facility in November?
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes if Department of Transportation (DOT) or the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) announces that it is unable to provide air traffic control services at a named facility (‘ATC Zero’) due to controller staffing shortages before Dec 1, 2025.Outcome verified from FAA, the Federal Register, the White House, social media of the White House and the President of the United States, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, and NBC.
Ground stops do not necessarily imply ATC Zero. A qualifying example occurred on Oct 6, 2025 at Hollywood Burbank (BUR) Tower.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 5, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXATCZERO
EventKXATCZERO-25
MarketKXATCZERO-25
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