How much will the Fed’s balance sheet shrink before 2026?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
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5
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3
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1
0
▼ 00
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2026
Chance
$13,583vol
6.5 trillion
52%
6 trillion
14%
7 trillion
Yes
Rules summary for
6.5 trillion
If the Federal Reserve's balance sheet is below 6.5 trillion before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.
Timeline and payout
How much will the Fed’s balance sheet shrink before 2026?
Buy Yes · 6.5 trillionBuy
Sell
Dollars
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