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When will Joe Biden’s presidential memoir be released? Odds & Predictions
Politics
When will Joe Biden’s presidential memoir be released?
Politics
When will Joe Biden’s presidential memoir be released?
Chance
Before Oct 1, 2026
48%
▲ 7
Yes
49¢
No
53¢
Before Oct 1, 2026
48%
▲ 7
Yes
49¢
No
53¢
Before Jan 1, 2027
67%
▲ 11
Yes
84¢
No
17¢
Before Jan 1, 2027
67%
▲ 11
Yes
84¢
No
17¢
Before Apr 1, 2027
85%
Yes
84¢
No
17¢
Before Apr 1, 2027
85%
Yes
84¢
No
17¢
Market Rules
Before Oct 1, 2026
If Joe Biden’s presidential memoir has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
Deadline
,
Entertainment Weekly
,
streaming platform for media in geography
,
The Source Agencies are
,
Fox News
,
The Information
,
MSNBC
,
Semafor
,
Bloomberg News
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
in hierarchical order
,
The Hollywood Reporter
,
official website or verified social media account of the media distributor in geography
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
IMDb
,
Spotify
,
Netflix
,
Variety
,
CNN
,
The New York Times
,
NBC
,
Politico
,
The Washington Post
,
the Associated Press
,
CBS
, and
film studios responsible for the production of media
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 9, 2026 · 3:00pm EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the media is officially released. Otherwise, it closes by Sep 30, 2026 at 11:59pm EDT.
Series
KXBIDENBOOK
Event
KXBIDENBOOK-26JUN10
Market
KXBIDENBOOK-26JUN10-26OCT01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$1,519 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL