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CA-04 primary advancers? Odds & Predictions 2026
Elections
·
Primaries
CA-04 primary advancers?
Elections
·
Primaries
CA-04 primary advancers?
Chance
Eric Jones
65%
▼ 16
Yes
65¢
No
36¢
Eric Jones
65%
▼ 16
Yes
65¢
No
36¢
Ray Riehle
42%
▲ 12
Yes
42¢
No
67¢
Ray Riehle
42%
▲ 12
Yes
42¢
No
67¢
Heath Fulkerson
1%
▼ 2.4
Yes
0.9¢
No
99.8¢
Heath Fulkerson
1%
▼ 2.4
Yes
0.9¢
No
99.8¢
4 more
Market Rules
Eric Jones
If Eric Jones advances in the 2026 CA-04 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
California Secretary of State
.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Dec 22, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 3, 2027 at 11:00am EDT.
Series
KXCA04PRIMARY
Event
KXCA04PRIMARY-26
Market
KXCA04PRIMARY-26-EJON
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
Primary Elections
United States 2026
Primary Elections
United States 2026
2026 Primary Elections
$65,781 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL