When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
Before July 24%
Before October 31%
Before 2026 70%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
Chance
$22,042vol
Before July
24%
▲ 6
Before October
31%
▼ 6
Before 2026
70%
▲ 1
Rules summary for
Before October
If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from Feb 28, 2025 to Oct 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House.
The member must have been confirmed or appointed to their position after the President to be inaugurated on January 20, 2025 has taken office.
For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Timeline and payout
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