California Governor primary: exact place
California Governor primary: exact place
Chance
Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan
98%
Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan
98%
Becerra, Steyer, Hilton, Bianco, Porter, Mahan
2.9%
Becerra, Steyer, Hilton, Bianco, Porter, Mahan
2.9%
Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Mahan, Porter
1.8%
Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Mahan, Porter
1.8%
More markets
Market Rules
Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan
Resolves Yes if the exact result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is Xavier Becerra (1st), Steve Hilton (2nd), Tom Steyer (3rd), Chad Bianco (4th), Katie Porter (5th), Matt Mahan (6th).Outcome verified from California Secretary of State.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 29, 2026 · 8:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXCAGOVPRIMARYEXACT
EventKXCAGOVPRIMARYEXACT-26JUN02
MarketKXCAGOVPRIMARYEXACT-26JUN02-BEC-HIL-STE-BIA-POR-MAH
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Cabinet members and their immediate staff.
- Federal Reserve Board members and regional Fed presidents.
- Members of Congress and their senior staff.
- White House senior staff and advisors.
- Heads of relevant federal agencies referenced in components.
- Employees of Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Census Bureau.
- Employees with pre-release access to economic data.
- Federal statistical agency employees involved in data compilation.
- Contractors with access to embargoed data.
- Campaign managers and senior campaign staff for referenced candidates.
- Political party leadership if election/appointment components included.
- Judicial clerks if Supreme Court components included.
- Congressional committee staff for relevant committees.
- Journalists with embargo access to referenced data.
- Employees of Source Agencies who cover relevant beats.
- Political polling organization employees if polling components included.
- Foreign government officials involved in treaty/agreement negotiations (if applicable).
- Diplomatic staff with knowledge of agreement timing.
- International organization employees (IMF, World Bank, UN) if relevant.
- Immediate family members of all above categories.
- Household members of prohibited persons.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan
Odds
0% chanceMax payout
$0
Primary Elections
United States 2026
Primary Elections
United States 20262026 Primary Elections