How many seats will the New Democratic Party win in the Canadian election?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
forecast
▼
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
Chance
$23,856vol
9 or below
66%
▼ 2
9 or below
66%
▼ 2
10 to 15
28%
10 to 15
28%
16 to 20
1%
16 to 20
1%
3 more markets
Rules summary for
9 or below
If the New Democratic Party win below |9 or below seats in the 2025 Canadian federal election in the House of Commons, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from CBC.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Trading prohibitions
How many seats will the New Democratic Party win in the Canadian election?