FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts) Odds & Predictions 2026
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
Chance
Above $1M
96%
Above $1M
96%
Above $10M
40%
▼ 1
Above $10M
40%
▼ 1
Above $100M
37%
Above $100M
37%
4 more
Market Rules
Above $1M
If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Sources from Commerce Department, Treasury Department, and White House.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 4, 2026 · 5:00pm EDT
Market closesJan 1, 2027 · 9:59am EST
Projected payoutApr 1, 2027 · 11:30am EDT
SeriesKXCOMMGIFTS
EventKXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30
MarketKXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T1000000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event