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Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August? Odds & Predictions 2026
Science and Technology
·
Physics & Math
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August?
Science and Technology
·
Physics & Math
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August?
Chance
Aalo Atomics
73%
Yes
73¢
No
30¢
Aalo Atomics
73%
Yes
73¢
No
30¢
Atomic Alchemy
51%
▲ 1
Yes
54¢
No
49¢
Atomic Alchemy
51%
▲ 1
Yes
54¢
No
49¢
Oklo
37%
Yes
41¢
No
64¢
Oklo
37%
Yes
41¢
No
64¢
7 more
Market Rules
Antares Nuclear
If Antares Nuclear achieves criticality before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
company
,
company's official website
,
company's SEC filings
,
company's official social media accounts
,
company Chief Executive Officer
,
the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
,
the International Atomic Energy Agency
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg News
,
Reuters
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
The Washington Post
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
NBC
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
Nuclear News
,
Nuclear Engineering International
,
World Nuclear News
,
Utility Dive
, and
Energy Central
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Aug 13, 2025 · 4:45pm EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jul 31, 2026 at 11:59pm EDT.
Series
KXCRITICALITY
Event
KXCRITICALITY-26AUG
Market
KXCRITICALITY-26AUG-ANTARES
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$219,446 vol
1D
1W
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ALL