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Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August? Odds & Predictions 2026
Science and Technology
·
Physics & Math
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August?
Science and Technology
·
Physics & Math
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August?
Chance
Atomic Alchemy
78%
▲ 21
Yes
82¢
No
20¢
Atomic Alchemy
78%
▲ 21
Yes
82¢
No
20¢
Oklo
59%
▲ 40
Yes
59¢
No
44¢
Oklo
59%
▲ 40
Yes
59¢
No
44¢
Radiant Industries
21%
Yes
26¢
No
75¢
Radiant Industries
21%
Yes
26¢
No
75¢
7 more
Market Rules
Aalo Atomics
Resolves Yes if
Aalo Atomics achieves criticality before Aug 1, 2026
.
Outcome verified from
company
,
company's official website
,
company's SEC filings
,
company's official social media accounts
,
company Chief Executive Officer
,
the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
,
the International Atomic Energy Agency
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg News
,
Reuters
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
The Washington Post
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
NBC
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
Nuclear News
,
Nuclear Engineering International
,
World Nuclear News
,
Utility Dive
, and
Energy Central
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Aug 13, 2025 · 4:45pm EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jul 31, 2026 at 11:59pm EDT.
Series
KXCRITICALITY
Event
KXCRITICALITY-26AUG
Market
KXCRITICALITY-26AUG-AALO
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Aalo Atomics
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
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$271,206 vol
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