Who will win the Czech Republic parliamentary election?
Who will win the Czech Republic parliamentary election?
ANO 2011
Yes
ANO 2011
Yes
Civic Democratic Party
No
Civic Democratic Party
No
TOP 09
No
TOP 09
No
5 more
Market Rules
ANO 2011
Resolves Yes if ANO 2011 wins more seats than any other party in the next Czech Chamber of Deputies election.Outcome verified from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
If two parties are reported to hold the same number of seats following the election, then the party that had the highest vote share will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the parties remain tied, the first party in alphabetical order will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 26, 2025 · 1:00pm EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXCZECHPARTY
EventKXCZECHPARTY-25
MarketKXCZECHPARTY-25-ANO
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.
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- Third-party vendors, contractors, consultants, and outside counsel (and employees thereof) engaged by any campaign listed within this event.
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- All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
- All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
- All staff of the Executive Office of the President, including the Office of the President and the Office of the Vice President.
- Commissioners and staff of the Federal Election Commission.
- Senior staff (Schedule C and equivalent political appointees) of any federal agency with jurisdiction over election administration, election security, or election-related enforcement, including without limitation the Department of Justice (Public Integrity Section, Election Crimes Branch, and Civil Rights Division Voting Section) and the Department of Homeland Security (CISA).
- All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
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- All Electors who may cast ballots in connection with the determination of the President and/or Vice President of the United States.
- State Secretaries of State (and equivalent chief election officials), members of state and local boards of elections, election directors, registrars, and senior staff of state and local election administration offices.
- Any person working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
- Paid employees of major polling organizations. The Exchange shall maintain and publish a list of polling organizations it has designated as "major" and may modify that list at any time. This prohibition does not apply to all employees of an organization that contains a polling division (e.g., the prohibition does not apply to all employees of Quinnipiac University despite the presence of Quinnipiac University's polling division).
- Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations, including but not limited to Fox News, ABC News, the Associated Press, CNN, CBS News, Decision Desk HQ, NBC News, The New York Times, and Reuters.
- Employees of exit-polling and election-night survey operations engaged by media organizations or campaigns in any race listed within this event, including but not limited to Edison Research and the National Election Pool.
ANO 2011
Odds
0% chanceMax payout