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Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration Odds & Predictions 2028
Economics
·
Growth
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
Economics
·
Growth
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
Begins in
1010 days
·
Mar 31, 11:00am EDT
Chance
$40 trillion
98%
Yes
98¢
No
3.1¢
$40 trillion
98%
Yes
98¢
No
3.1¢
$45 trillion
78%
Yes
83¢
No
22¢
$45 trillion
78%
Yes
83¢
No
22¢
$50 trillion
34%
Yes
34¢
No
67¢
$50 trillion
34%
Yes
34¢
No
67¢
Market Rules
$40 trillion
Resolves Yes if
the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive)
.
Outcome verified from
FRED
.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Nov 12, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the national debt hits 40T Otherwise, it closes by Mar 31, 2029 at 11:00am EDT.
Series
KXDEBTGROWTH
Event
KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31
Market
KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-40
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.