Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration Odds & Predictions 2028
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
Begins in 1025 days · Mar 31, 11:00am EDT
Chance
$40 trillion
98%
$40 trillion
98%
$45 trillion
83%
$45 trillion
83%
$50 trillion
44%
$50 trillion
44%
Market Rules
$40 trillion
If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from FRED.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 12, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the national debt hits 40T Otherwise, it closes by Mar 31, 2029 at 11:00am EDT.
SeriesKXDEBTGROWTH
EventKXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31
MarketKXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-40
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.