Peak US National Debt in 2025?

Peak US National Debt in 2025?

At least $37 trillion

Yes

At least $37 trillion

Yes

At least $38 trillion

Yes

At least $38 trillion

Yes

At least $39 trillion

No

At least $39 trillion

No

6 more

Market Rules

At least $37 trillion

The outcome is Yes - the U.S. Department of the Treasury reported the size of the U.S. federal debt exceeded $38T on Dec 31, 2025, the end of Q4 2025.

If the U.S. federal debt increases to $37 trillion in any quarter in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FRED.

Note: this event is directional.

Timeline and payout

Market openJul 8, 2025 · 11:14am EDT

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if Otherwise, it closes by Jan 10, 2026 at 5:30pm EST.

SeriesKXDEBTGROWTH25

EventKXDEBTGROWTH25-25DEC31

MarketKXDEBTGROWTH25-25DEC31-37

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.