Will Trump reduce the national debt?
Will Trump reduce the national debt?
Order book
Yes
Market Rules
Yes
Resolves Yes if the U.S. federal debt is below Q4 2024 level in any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028.Outcome verified from FRED.
Clarification 4/22/25 3:00 AM ET: The value for Q4 2024 is $36,218,605 (recorded in millions of dollars). To be clear, if the Federal Debt (Total Public Debt) is below this value ($36,218,605 million) in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2025, 2026, 2027, or 2028, then the market will resolve to Yes.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 12, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXDEBTSHRINK
EventKXDEBTSHRINK-28NOV11
MarketKXDEBTSHRINK-28NOV11-1
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Yes
Odds
0% chanceMax payout