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Deportations this year? Odds & Predictions
Politics
·
Trump
Deportations this year?
Politics
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Trump
Deportations this year?
Chance
Above 400,000
86%
▼ 1
Yes
87¢
No
14¢
Above 400,000
86%
▼ 1
Yes
87¢
No
14¢
Above 500,000
34%
Yes
34¢
No
67¢
Above 500,000
34%
Yes
34¢
No
67¢
Above 600,000
22%
▼ 2
Yes
23¢
No
78¢
Above 600,000
22%
▼ 2
Yes
23¢
No
78¢
2 more
Market Rules
Above 200,000
Resolves Yes if
the number of ICE removals is above 200,000 in FY2026
.
Outcome verified from
ICE
.
This market will resolve once complete data is available for FY2026.
Note: this event is directional.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Feb 12, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 9:59am EST
Projected payout
Apr 1, 2027 · 11:30am EDT
Series
KXDEPORTATIONS
Event
KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01
Market
KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T200000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Above 200,000
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
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