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Deportations this year? Odds & Predictions
Politics
Deportations this year?
Politics
Deportations this year?
Chance
Above 400,000
88%
Yes
91.6¢
No
12¢
Above 400,000
88%
Yes
91.6¢
No
12¢
Above 500,000
33%
▲ 2
Yes
32¢
No
73¢
Above 500,000
33%
▲ 2
Yes
32¢
No
73¢
Above 600,000
19%
Yes
19¢
No
84¢
Above 600,000
19%
Yes
19¢
No
84¢
2 more
Market Rules
Above 200,000
If the number of ICE removals is above 200,000 in FY2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
ICE
.
This market will resolve once complete data is available for FY2026.
Note: this event is directional.
View full rules
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Feb 12, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 9:59am EST
Projected payout
Apr 1, 2027 · 11:30am EDT
Series
KXDEPORTATIONS
Event
KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01
Market
KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T200000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event