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How many deportations in Trump's first year?
Chance
At least 250,000
Yes
79¢
No
22¢
At least 250,000
Yes
79¢
No
22¢
At least 500,000
Yes
35¢
No
66¢
At least 500,000
Yes
35¢
No
66¢
At least 750,000
Yes
22¢
No
79¢
At least 750,000
Yes
22¢
No
79¢
2 more markets
Rules summary for
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At least 500,000
If there are at least 500,000 removals from the United States by ICE in 2025, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
ICE
.
View full rules
Market Rules
Timeline and payout
How many deportations in Trump's first year?
Buy Yes
· At least 500,000
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side
Yes
35¢
No
66¢
Amount
Contracts
0
Average price
35¢
Payout if
Yes
wins
$0
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/markets/kxdeportcount/deportcount