Deportations in Trump's first year?

At least 250,000

Yes

At least 250,000

At least 500,000

At least 500,000

At least 750,000

At least 750,000

2 more

At least 250,000

The outcome is Yes

If there are at least 250,000 removals from the United States by ICE in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from ICE.

Timeline and payout

Market openDec 5, 2024 · 10:00am EST

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early after the data for all of the first year is released. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 27, 2026 at 7:06pm EST.

SeriesKXDEPORTCOUNT

EventKXDEPORTCOUNT-25

MarketKXDEPORTCOUNT-25-250

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.