Fed median dot plot in September 2026
Fed median dot plot in September 2026
Begins in 87 days · Sep 16, 12:00pm EDT
Chance
Above 3.7%
90%
Above 3.7%
90%
Above 3.8%
60%
Above 3.8%
60%
Above 3.9%
40%
Above 3.9%
40%
9 more
Market Rules
Above 3.3%
Resolves Yes if the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 3.3% at the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting.Outcome verified from Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
The Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections, not the midpoint or bounds of the federal funds target range unless that is how the Federal Reserve publishes the relevant value.
Clarification (6/20/2026): If the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary of Economic Projections does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 20, 2026 · 6:00pm EDT
Market closesSep 16, 2026 · 1:55pm EDT
Projected payoutSep 16, 2026 · 2:54pm EDT
SeriesKXDOTPLOT
EventKXDOTPLOT-26SEP
MarketKXDOTPLOT-26SEP-3.3
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.