How many DSA-endorsed candidates will win their primaries? Odds & Predictions 2026
How many DSA-endorsed candidates will win their primaries?
How many DSA-endorsed candidates will win their primaries?
Chance
Above 2
86%
Above 2
86%
Above 4
31%
▼ 66
Above 4
31%
▼ 66
Above 6
26%
▼ 25
Above 6
26%
▼ 25
2 more
Market Rules
Above 2
Resolves Yes ifthe total count of candidates endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), including local chapters, who win a 2026 federal primary election scheduled on or after June 25, 2026 is above 2.Outcome verified from Democratic Socialists of America.
The endorsement must occur before the candidate wins the primary.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 25, 2026 · 4:00pm EDT
Market closesNov 3, 2026 · 9:59am EST
Projected payoutFeb 1, 2027 · 10:30am EST
SeriesKXDSAWINS
EventKXDSAWINS-26NOV03
MarketKXDSAWINS-26NOV03-A2
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Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event