European Central Bank interest rate at in September 2025 meeting?
European Central Bank interest rate at in September 2025 meeting?
Above 1.75%
Yes
Above 1.75%
Yes
Above 2.00%
Yes
Above 2.00%
Yes
Above 2.25%
No
Above 2.25%
No
Market Rules
Above 1.75%
If the European Central Bank's Governing Council announces a main refinancing operation rate above 1.75% at their September 11, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from European Central Bank.
The market will close one minute prior to the expected release of the data.
Timeline and payout
Market openJul 26, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedSep 11, 2025 · 8:14am EDT
Paid outSep 11, 2025 · 11:00am EDT
SeriesKXECB
EventKXECB-25SEP11
MarketKXECB-25SEP11-T1.75
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
On June 6, 2024, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its benchmark interest rate to 3.75% from a record high of 4%, marking the first rate cut since 2019. The decision was based on an updated assessment of the inflation outlook and the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission. The ECB cited a sharp decline in headline inflation and confidence in its forecasting abilities as key factors. However, euro zone inflation remains a concern, with services inflation rising to 4.1% and wage inflation nearing a 5% annualized rate. The ECB's Governing Council will continue to adopt a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach to determining the appropriate level and duration of restrictions.