Will the winner of the popular vote also win the Presidency? Odds & Predictions 2024
Will the winner of the popular vote also win the Presidency?
Will the winner of the popular vote also win the Presidency?
Order book
Yes
Market Rules
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes ifthe winner of the national popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election also assumes the Presidency in January 2025.Outcome verified from United States Congress.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 1, 2024 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out5 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early following the tallying of electoral votes by Congress in early January. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 6, 2025 at 2:10pm EST.
SeriesKXECPOPVOTE
EventKXECPOPVOTE
MarketKXECPOPVOTE
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Holders of federal and statewide public office.
Paid campaign staffers on presidential campaigns.
Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of presidential campaigns.
Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
Paid employees of major polling organizations
Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members
All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.