How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
▲ 00
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Day 1 (+0)
$6,051,640vol
14
No
15
No
More than 15
Yes
Rules summary for
14
If exactly 14 Executive Orders are Issued on January 20, 2025 starting at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House.
Executive or presidential memoranda, proclamations, and notices are not included. Repealing an Executive Order counts as an Executive Order unless it is part of some other action (e.g. a presidential notice). Clarification 1/20/25 7:50 AM ET: This market is strictly on the number of Executive Orders, not executive proclamations, memoranda, new rules, or other actions. These are sometimes conflated in the media. You can see this list strictly here in the Federal Register, for example, for Joe Biden's day one orders.
The Source is the White House itself, not whitehouse.gov. Even if the website of the White House did not show an Order, it would still be counted if it happened.
An omnibus executive order, where a single order contains many actions, is still one order.
Our rules state, "Repealing an executive order counts as an executive order itself." An order that is simply titled, "Repeal of [X] Order by Biden" will count; however, a single Executive Order repealing many is still one Executive Order. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
