Will the filibuster be weakened?
Will the filibuster be weakened?
Chance
Before 2027
20%
Before 2027
20%
Before 2028
24%
Before 2028
24%
Before January 20, 2029
33%
Before January 20, 2029
33%
1 more
Market Rules
Before 2027
Resolves Yes if the U.S. Senate lowers the threshold for the filibuster before January 1, 2027.Outcome verified from U.S. Senate and Library of Congress.
If the U.S. Senate changes its rules or precedent to lower the threshold for cloture for any legislative action whose threshold for cloture at time of Issuance is three-fifths of all Senators duly chosen and sworn, then the market resolves to Yes. Changes to reconciliation rules are not included.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 3, 2025 · 6:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout14 hours after closing
SeriesKXFBUSTER
EventKXFBUSTER-26JAN01
MarketKXFBUSTER-26JAN01-27
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