Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license? Odds & Predictions 2026
Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license?
Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license?
Chance
Before Aug 1, 2026
2%
Before Aug 1, 2026
2%
Before Jan 1, 2027
7%
Before Jan 1, 2027
7%
Before Apr 1, 2027
14%
Before Apr 1, 2027
14%
Market Rules
Before Aug 1, 2026
Resolves Yes ifthe FCC announces the revocation, cancellation, or denial/non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station before Aug 1, 2026.Outcome verified from Federal Communications Commission.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 2, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jul 31, 2026 at 11:59pm EDT.
SeriesKXFCCBIG4
EventKXFCCBIG4-26JUN
MarketKXFCCBIG4-26JUN-26AUG01
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