When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1? Odds & Predictions
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Chance
Before September
29%
Before September
29%
Before November
55%
Before November
55%
Before 2027
68%
Before 2027
68%
3 more
Market Rules
Before July
If the FDA announces Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Food and Drug Administration.
The Payout Criterion is satisfied by placement of BPC-157 in either Category 1 or Category 1 Bulk Drug Substances Under Evaluation on the 503A Bulk Drug Substances list, as either designation restores compounding eligibility.
Removal from Category 2 alone, without placement in Category 1, does not satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 24, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jun 30, 2026 at 11:59pm EDT.
SeriesKXFDAANNOUNCE
EventKXFDAANNOUNCE-BPC
MarketKXFDAANNOUNCE-BPC-26JUL01
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