Who will win the Fields Medal this year?
Who will win the Fields Medal this year?
Chance
John Pardon
67%
John Pardon
67%
Yu Deng
49%
▲ 5.1
Yu Deng
49%
▲ 5.1
Jack Thorne
48.9%
▼ 6.5
Jack Thorne
48.9%
▼ 6.5
7 more
Market Rules
Hong Wang
If Hong Wang wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from International Mathematical Union.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 27, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXFIELDS
EventKXFIELDS-26
MarketKXFIELDS-26-HWAN
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.