How much compute will AI models be trained with this year?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
▼ 00
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
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Before 2026
% Chance
More than 60 billion petaFLOP
92%
More than 60 billion petaFLOP
92%
More than 75 billion petaFLOP
78%
More than 75 billion petaFLOP
78%
More than 100 billion petaFLOP
64%
More than 100 billion petaFLOP
64%
More than 150 billion petaFLOP
50%
More than 150 billion petaFLOP
50%
Rules summary for
More than 150 billion petaFLOP
If an AI model has been trained with more than 150 billion petaFLOP before 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Our World in Data.
Timeline and payout
How much compute will AI models be trained with this year?
Buy Yes · More than 150 billion petaFLOPBuy
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