How much compute will AI models be trained with this year?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
▲ 0000
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2026
Chance
$16,021vol
More than 500 billion petaFLOP
61%
More than 750 billion petaFLOP
35%
More than 60 billion petaFLOP
Yes
3 more markets
Rules summary for
More than 750 billion petaFLOP
If an AI model has been trained with more than 750 billion petaFLOP before 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Our World in Data.
Timeline and payout
How much compute will AI models be trained with this year?
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