How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

More than 100 billion petaFLOP

Yes

More than 100 billion petaFLOP

Yes

More than 150 billion petaFLOP

Yes

More than 150 billion petaFLOP

Yes

More than 500 billion petaFLOP

No

More than 500 billion petaFLOP

No

3 more

Market Rules

More than 60 billion petaFLOP

The outcome is Yes

If an AI model has been trained with more than 60 billion petaFLOP before 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Our World in Data.

Timeline and payout

Market openDec 5, 2024 · 10:00am EST

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Mar 16, 2025 at 5:43pm EDT.

SeriesKXFLOP

EventKXFLOP-26

MarketKXFLOP-26-60

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.