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How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025? Odds & Predictions
Science and Technology
How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?
Science and Technology
How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?
More than 100 billion petaFLOP
Yes
More than 100 billion petaFLOP
Yes
More than 150 billion petaFLOP
Yes
More than 150 billion petaFLOP
Yes
More than 500 billion petaFLOP
No
More than 500 billion petaFLOP
No
3 more
Market Rules
More than 60 billion petaFLOP
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes if
an AI model has been trained with more than 60 billion petaFLOP before 2026
.
Outcome verified from
Our World in Data
.
View full rules
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Dec 5, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Mar 16, 2025 at 5:43pm EDT.
Series
KXFLOP
Event
KXFLOP-26
Market
KXFLOP-26-60
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.