Will Google be forced to break up in 2025? Odds & Predictions
Will Google be forced to break up in 2025?
Will Google be forced to break up in 2025?
$235,172 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If a court orders Google to be broken up (orders any part of it to be divested) before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from PACER.
Clarification (7/18/25 at 3:15am ET): To be clear, if a court orders a breakup and additional remedies (e.g. the payment of fines), that is sufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 28, 2024 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out5 minutes after closing
If this event occurs, or the DOJ withdraws or settles the lawsuit with Google, then the market will resolve the following 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2026 at 3:13am EST.
SeriesKXGOOGLEBREAKUP
EventKXGOOGLEBREAKUP-26
MarketKXGOOGLEBREAKUP-26-JAN01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.