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Alaska Governor primary: who will advance? Odds & Predictions 2026
Elections
·
Primaries
Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?
Elections
·
Primaries
Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?
Begins in
70 days
·
Aug 18, 8:00am EDT
Chance
Click Bishop
Republican
50%
Yes
51¢
No
54¢
Click Bishop
Republican
50%
Yes
51¢
No
54¢
Dave Bronson
Republican
41%
Yes
41¢
No
67¢
Dave Bronson
Republican
41%
Yes
41¢
No
67¢
Matthew Claman
Democratic
37%
▲ 2
Yes
38¢
No
67¢
Matthew Claman
Democratic
37%
▲ 2
Yes
38¢
No
67¢
More markets
Market Rules
Tom Begich
If Tom Begich advances to the general election from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor in 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
The Source Agencies are
,
in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer
,
the Federal Election Commission
,
state board of elections or canvassing board
,
relevant county clerk or board of elections
,
relevant city/municipal clerk
, and
Attorney General of the United States
.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jul 3, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 3, 2026 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXGOVAKPRIMARY
Event
KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26
Market
KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-TBEG
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
Primary Elections
United States 2026
Primary Elections
United States 2026
2026 Primary Elections
$72,504 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL