Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
Begins in 108 days · Sep 28, 8:00am EDT
Chance
Aaron Guckian
67%
Aaron Guckian
67%
Elaine Pelino
37%
Elaine Pelino
37%
Robert Raimondo
3%
Robert Raimondo
3%
Market Rules
Aaron Guckian
If Aaron Guckian wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Rhode Island Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from State of Rhode Island.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 26, 2026 · 2:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout5 minutes after closing
SeriesKXGOVRINOMR
EventKXGOVRINOMR-26
MarketKXGOVRINOMR-26-AGUC
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Holders of federal and statewide public office.
- Paid campaign staffers on gubernatorial campaigns.
- Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
- Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of gubernatorial campaigns
- Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
- Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
- Paid employees of major polling organizations. This prohibition does not apply to all employees of an organization that contains a polling division (e.g. the prohibition does not apply to all employees of Quinnipiac University despite the presence of Quinnipiac University’s polling division). The Exchange shall determine which polling organizations constitute “major” and may modify that determination at any time, and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
- Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations (including, but not necessarily exclusive to, Fox News, ABC News, AP, CNN, CBS News, Decision Desk HQ and NBC News). The Exchange shall determine which media organizations constitute “major” and may modify that determination at any time, and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
- All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
- All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
- All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
- All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
- All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
