Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? Odds & Predictions
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Order book
Yes
Market Rules
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes ifthe website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management contains a notice that the government at least partially shut down on January 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET due to a lapse in appropriations.Outcome verified from U.S. Office of Personnel Management.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 11, 2025 · 2:00pm EST
Market closedJan 31, 2026 · 11:00am EST
Paid outJan 31, 2026 · 12:00pm EST
SeriesKXGOVSHUT
EventKXGOVSHUT-26JAN31
MarketKXGOVSHUT-26JAN31
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.