Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? Odds & Predictions
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
$60,576,426 vol
Order book
Yes
Market Rules
The outcome is Yes
If the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management contains a notice that the government at least partially shut down on January 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET due to a lapse in appropriations, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from U.S. Office of Personnel Management.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 11, 2025 · 2:00pm EST
Market closedJan 31, 2026 · 11:00am EST
Paid outJan 31, 2026 · 12:00pm EST
SeriesKXGOVSHUT
EventKXGOVSHUT-26JAN31
MarketKXGOVSHUT-26JAN31
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.