Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
$129 vol
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Office of Management and Budget and United States Office of Personnel Management.
A shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable.
Examples that would resolve the market to Yes:
- OMB releases a formal directive that orders heads of the affected agencies to "execute plans for an orderly shutdown," which is in effect as of 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026
- OPM posts a current operating status that indicates that "due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency"
Examples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes:
- A technical lapse in appropriations occurs, but OMB directs agencies to continue standard operations
- Government closures or operating status changes resulting from Federal holidays, inclement weather, or other emergencies, unless such closures coincide with a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 9, 2026 · 4:30pm EDT
Market closesOct 1, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Projected payoutOct 2, 2026 · 10:30am EDT
SeriesKXGOVTSHUTDOWN
EventKXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01
MarketKXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.