Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Chance
Hottest
21.7%
▼ 3.3
Hottest
21.7%
▼ 3.3
Market Rules
Hottest
Resolves Yes if the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius.Outcome verified from NASA Goddard
Institute for Space Studies.
The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 9, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closesDec 31, 2026 · 11:59pm EST
Projected payoutJan 1, 2027 · 11:00am EST
SeriesKXGTEMP
EventKXGTEMP-26
MarketKXGTEMP-26-P0
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Hottest
Odds
0% chanceMax payout