Where will the maximum temperature be above 100 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
Where will the maximum temperature be above 100 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
Chance
Phoenix
96%
▲ 89
Phoenix
96%
▲ 89
Las Vegas
70%
▲ 67
Las Vegas
70%
▲ 67
Los Angeles
3%
▲ 1
Los Angeles
3%
▲ 1
More markets
Market Rules
Phoenix
Resolves Yes if the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 4, 2026, is greater than 100°F according to the Weather Company.Outcome verified from The Weather Company.
Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 25, 2026 · 3:22pm EDT
Market closesJul 4, 2026 · 11:59pm EDT
Projected payoutJul 7, 2026 · 5:29am EDT
SeriesKXHOLIDAYTMAX
EventKXHOLIDAYTMAX-260704100
MarketKXHOLIDAYTMAX-260704100-PHX
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
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