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MN-05 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Omar vs. Nagel | Kalshi

Series Image

House

MN-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Chance

Ilhan Omar

Democratic (DFL) party

93.3%

▼ 0.2

Ilhan Omar

Democratic (DFL) party

93.3%

▼ 0.2

John Nagel

Republican party

6.9%

▲ 0.5

John Nagel

Republican party

6.9%

▲ 0.5

DeVelle Jackson

Independent

<1%

DeVelle Jackson

Independent

<1%

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MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent

MN-05 House winner?

Ilhan Omar

Dollars$

Odds

94% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Omar

Nov 3 ·D +58.4margin forecast

Nagel

$197,258 vol

Race Intel

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Ilhan OmarD
$5.7M
63%
$5.7M raised·63% small donors
John NagelR
$746K
77%
$746K raised·77% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past presidential elections

2024D +61.9%2020D +63.1%