Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?

$2,517 vol

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Market Rules

If 1) an executive order alters the structure of the judiciary, 2) a bill becomes law that undermines judicial independence, or 3) any federal judges are removed outside of the impeachment process, before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from the United States Congress, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.

Please see full rules for details on what actions are included in the Payout Criterion.

Timeline and payout

Market openMar 19, 2025 · 10:00am EDT

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 20, 2029 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXINDJUDICIARY

EventKXINDJUDICIARY-29

MarketKXINDJUDICIARY-29

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.