How many federal judges will be confirmed this month?
How many federal judges will be confirmed this month?
Chance
At least 3
81%
At least 3
81%
At least 4
76%
At least 4
76%
At least 5
11%
At least 5
11%
2 more
Market Rules
At least 1
Resolves Yes if above 0 federal judges are confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 2026.Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
The positions that are eligible for inclusion are:
- Supreme Court justices
- Court of Federal Claims judges
- U.S. Court of Appeals judges
- U.S. District Court (including territorial courts) judges
Judges for the following courts are NOT included:
- U.S. Court of International Trade
- U.S. Tax Court
- U.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims
- U.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces
- U.S. Court of Military Commission Review
- District of Columbia local courts (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)
Timeline and payout
Market openJul 1, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout5 minutes after closing
SeriesKXJUDGECOUNT
EventKXJUDGECOUNT-26JUL
MarketKXJUDGECOUNT-26JUL-0
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
At least 1
Odds
0% chanceMax payout