Will any party overtake Labour in UK election polling?
Before Apr 2025 53%
Before Jun 2025 70%
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2025
% Chance
$1,333vol
Before Apr 2025
53%
Before Apr 2025
53%
Before May 2025
55%
Before May 2025
55%
Before Jun 2025
70%
Before Jun 2025
70%
2 more markets
Rules summary for
Before Apr 2025
If any party has a strictly higher polling number than the Labour Party according to Politico EU's national parliament voting intention before Apr 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Politico EU.
The Kalman, not the Smooth version, of the Poll of Polls will be used. This will be checked at 10:00 AM ET daily. Timeline and payout
Will any party overtake Labour in UK election polling?
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