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Will any party overtake Labour in UK election polling?

Before Mar 2025 100%
Before Apr 2025 100%
Before Jun 2025 100%
JanJanJanFebMay20%40%60%80%100%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025 (+0)
$10,242vol
Before Mar 2025
Yes
Before Apr 2025
Yes
Before Jun 2025
Yes
2 more markets
Rules summary for
Before Mar 2025
The outcome is Yes
If any party has a strictly higher polling number than the Labour Party according to Politico EU's national parliament voting intention before Mar 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Politico EU.
The Kalman, not the Smooth version, of the Poll of Polls will be used. This will be checked at 10:00 AM ET daily.
Timeline and payout
Illustration of gavel
Determined