Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner Odds & Predictions 2026
Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner
LIVE
Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner
LIVE
Chance
Karen Bass
97%
▼ 1
Karen Bass
97%
▼ 1
Nithya Raman
<1%
Nithya Raman
<1%
Spencer Pratt
<1%
Spencer Pratt
<1%
2 more
Market Rules
Karen Bass
If Karen Bass wins the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election in 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Los Angeles City Clerk.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 27, 2026 · 3:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jun 2, 2027 at 10:00am EDT.
SeriesKXLAMAYOR1R
EventKXLAMAYOR1R-26
MarketKXLAMAYOR1R-26-KBAS
Insider trading is prohibited
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Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event