Los Angeles mayoral primary: exact place Odds & Predictions
Los Angeles mayoral primary: exact place
Los Angeles mayoral primary: exact place
Begins in 132 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST
Chance
Bass, Raman, Pratt
99.3%
Bass, Raman, Pratt
99.3%
Raman, Bass, Pratt
0.7%
Raman, Bass, Pratt
0.7%
Bass, Pratt, Raman
No
Bass, Pratt, Raman
No
3 more
Market Rules
Bass, Raman, Pratt
Resolves Yes ifthe exact result in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary is Karen Bass (1st), Nithya Raman (2nd), Spencer Pratt (3rd).Outcome verified from City of Los Angeles.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 29, 2026 · 8:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes). Otherwise, it closes by Jun 2, 2027 at 10:00am EDT.
SeriesKXLAMAYORPRIMARYEXACT
EventKXLAMAYORPRIMARYEXACT-26JUN02
MarketKXLAMAYORPRIMARYEXACT-26JUN02-BAS-RAM-PRA
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Cabinet members and their immediate staff.
Federal Reserve Board members and regional Fed presidents.
Members of Congress and their senior staff.
White House senior staff and advisors.
Heads of relevant federal agencies referenced in components.
Employees of Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Census Bureau.
Employees with pre-release access to economic data.
Federal statistical agency employees involved in data compilation.
Contractors with access to embargoed data.
Campaign managers and senior campaign staff for referenced candidates.
Political party leadership if election/appointment components included.
Judicial clerks if Supreme Court components included.
Congressional committee staff for relevant committees.
Journalists with embargo access to referenced data.
Employees of Source Agencies who cover relevant beats.
Political polling organization employees if polling components included.
Foreign government officials involved in treaty/agreement negotiations (if applicable).
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International organization employees (IMF, World Bank, UN) if relevant.
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Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event