Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?

$64,577 vol

Market Rules

If Meta releases Llama 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Meta.

Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

Timeline and payout

Market openJan 3, 2026 · 10:00am EST

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXLLAMA5

EventKXLLAMA5-27

MarketKXLLAMA5-27

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.