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Los Angeles Mayor winner? Odds & Predictions 2026
Elections
·
US Elections
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
LIVE
Elections
·
US Elections
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
LIVE
Chance
Karen Bass
63%
▲ 1
Yes
63¢
No
38¢
Karen Bass
63%
▲ 1
Yes
63¢
No
38¢
Nithya Raman
33%
▲ 2
Yes
34¢
No
67¢
Nithya Raman
33%
▲ 2
Yes
34¢
No
67¢
Spencer Pratt
3.8%
▼ 3.6
Yes
3.8¢
No
96.3¢
Spencer Pratt
3.8%
▼ 3.6
Yes
3.8¢
No
96.3¢
7 more
Market Rules
Karen Bass
If Karen Bass wins the Los Angeles Mayoral Election in 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
City of Los Angeles
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jul 9, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jun 2, 2027 at 10:00am EDT.
Series
KXMAYORLA
Event
KXMAYORLA-26
Market
KXMAYORLA-26-KBAS
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
$67,542,311 vol
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