Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive111AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE111
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections

California’s 43rd District margin of victory

100

Begins in 8 days · Nov 3

Chance

Waters, 60+ pts
57%

Waters, 60+ pts

57%

Waters, 63+ pts
44%

Waters, 63+ pts

44%

Waters, 66+ pts
30%

Waters, 66+ pts

30%

6 more

People are also trading
Series Image
CA-43 House winner?
Series Image
California 43 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
CA-43 House election: Cristian Morales vote percent
Series Image
CA-43 House election: Maxine Waters vote percent
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
South Carolina Senate winner?
Series Image
Florida Senate winner?
More Elections Markets

More Midterm margin of victory markets

Alaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlabama's 2nd District margin of victoryArkansas's 2nd District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victory

Trending Elections markets

Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?Which party will win the U.S. House?Texas Senate winner?Texas Governor winner?2028 Republican presidential nomineeWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?South Carolina Senate winner?Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Elections hub

All Elections markets
California’s 43rd District margin of victory
Waters, 48+ pts

Waters, 48+ pts

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Cristian MoralesR
    $14K
    0.0%
    $14K raised·0.0% small donors
  • Maxine WatersD
    $1M
    3.5%
    $1M raised·3.5% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024D +49.0%2020D +63.8%