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  1. US Elections

Arkansas Senate margin of victory

100
Begins on Tuesday · Nov 3
Chance
Cotton, 12+ pts
48%

Cotton, 12+ pts

48%
Cotton, 14+ pts
42%
▲ 4

Cotton, 14+ pts

42%
▲ 4
Cotton, 16+ pts
39%
▲ 10

Cotton, 16+ pts

39%
▲ 10
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Arkansas Senate margin of victory
Cotton, 2+ pts

Cotton, 2+ pts

Odds
95% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Race Intel
CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Tom CottonR51.1%
    51.1%
    $7M
    9.3%
    $7M raised·9.3% small donors
  • Hallie ShoffnerD38.5%
    38.5%
    $3.7M
    33%
    $3.7M raised·33% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +30.6%2020R +27.6%
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