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  1. US Elections

Massachusetts’s 4th District margin of victory

100
Begins in 19 days · Nov 3
Chance
Auchincloss, 29+ pts

70%

Auchincloss, 29+ pts

70%

Auchincloss, 32+ pts

57%

Auchincloss, 32+ pts

57%

Auchincloss, 35+ pts

41%

Auchincloss, 35+ pts

41%

7 more

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Massachusetts’s 4th District margin of victory
Auchincloss, 17+ pts

Auchincloss, 17+ pts

Odds
100% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027

$0

Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jake AuchinclossD
    $3.5M
    0.9%
    $3.5M raised·0.9% small donors
  • Tom StalcupR
    —
    —
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024D +19.6%2020D +28.5%