Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive178AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE178
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections

Utah’s 4th District margin of victory

100

Begins in 7 days · Nov 3

Chance

Kennedy, 22+ pts
60%

Kennedy, 22+ pts

60%

Kennedy, 25+ pts
46%

Kennedy, 25+ pts

46%

Kennedy, 28+ pts
41%

Kennedy, 28+ pts

41%

7 more

People are also trading
Series Image
UT-04 House winner?
Series Image
Utah 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
UT-04 House election: Jacob Gottfredson vote percent
Series Image
UT-04 House election: Jonny Larsen vote percent
Series Image
UT-04 House election: Mike Kennedy vote percent
Series Image
UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent
Series Image
UT-04 House election: Taylor Wright vote percent
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
More Elections Markets

More Midterm margin of victory markets

Alaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlabama's 2nd District margin of victoryArkansas's 2nd District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victory

Trending Elections markets

Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?Which party will win the U.S. House?Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?Texas Senate winner?Which party will win the U.S. Senate?Texas Governor winner?2028 Republican presidential nomineeFlorida Senate winner?

Elections hub

All Elections markets
Utah’s 4th District margin of victory
Kennedy, 13+ pts

Kennedy, 13+ pts

Odds
89% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jonny LarsenD
    $53.6K
    14%
    $53.6K raised·14% small donors
  • Mike KennedyR
    $1.2M
    0.5%
    $1.2M raised·0.5% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +31.8%2020R +33.0%